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Kirk Cousins over 232.5 yards

The Kansas City Chiefs will be playing without running backs Isiah Pacheco and Clyde Edwards-Helaire when they face the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football. Rookie Carson Steele only has nine carries through the first two games of the season, but he is in line to be the early-down back in this game. Steele has a rushing yards over/under of 45.5 in the Week 3 NFL odds, while Samaje Perine has a rushing yards total of 17.5. Should you back either of those running backs to go Over with your Chiefs vs. Falcons prop bets?

The expected lack of rushing means Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes could be in for a high-volume passing performance. His passing yards total is 269.5, which is a number he has surpassed in just two of his last eight games. Before betting any NFL props for Sunday Night Football or entering NFL predictions on sites like PrizePicks, you need to see the Falcons vs. Chiefs NFL prop predictions powered by SportsLine’s AI PickBot.

Built using cutting-edge artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques by SportsLine’s Data Science team, AI Predictions and AI Ratings are generated for each player prop. The AI predictions are determined by statistically learning from each player’s historical data and then quantitatively evaluating the strength of the opponent’s defense by assigning a numeric value out of 100 called a matchup score.

Once a prediction is formulated, the AI rating is generated using the prediction, the matchup score, and the odds of the market. Last season, the AI PickBot hit a whopping 1,674 4.5- and 5-star prop picks. Anybody who followed those picks was way up.

For Falcons vs. Chiefs NFL betting on Sunday Night Football, the AI PickBot has evaluated the NFL player prop odds and provided Chiefs vs. Falcons prop picks for every available prop market. You can only see the AI player prop predictions for Atlanta vs. Kansas City here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Falcons vs. Chiefs
After analyzing Chiefs vs. Falcons props and examining the dozens of NFL player prop markets, the AI PickBot says Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins goes over 232.5 passing yards. Cousins is coming off a fantastic performance against Philadelphia, completing 20 of 29 passes for 241 yards and two touchdowns in a comeback win. He ranked seventh in yards per attempt and 12th in highly accurate throw rate last week, and he is facing a Kansas City defense that ranks in the middle of the league in most advanced statistics.

The Chiefs are also allowing the second-most passing yards per game (256.5), and Cousins went over 270 passing yards in six of his eight games last season. Kansas City will rely heavily on its passing attack, which means there will be plenty of quick drives and clock stoppages. All of this adds up to a high-volume day for Cousins, and the AI PickBot has him finishing with more than 275 passing yards on Sunday night. See more NFL props here.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Atlanta vs. Kansas City
In addition, the AI PickBot says another star sails past his total and has four more NFL props rated four stars or better. You need to see the AI PickBot’s analysis before making any Chiefs vs. Falcons prop bets for Sunday Night Football.

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Cardinals’ defensive TD gets overturned on controversial call, leads to Lions scoring on hook-and-ladder play

Late in the second quarter of their Week 3 game against the Arizona Cardinals, the Detroit Lions faced third-and-12 near midfield. It was right then that disaster seemingly struck. Jared Goff dropped back to pass, and got absolutely clobbered by an Arizona defender, popping the ball up into the air.

It landed in the waiting arms of Mack Wilson, who took it all the way back to the house.

“The key is the officials killed it, so there’s nothing we can do in replay after the fact.”@DeanBlandino talks about why they couldn’t review if the ball was snapped before the 2-minute warning pic.twitter.com/7ITYbGHBQL

— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) September 22, 2024
Or so we thought. After Wilson made his way to the end zone, the officials informed the crowd and the broadcast crew that the two-minute warning actually hit before Detroit snapped the ball, negating the play. Except, that did not actually appear to be the case, as many, many viewers noticed.

Oh the Cardinals just got SCREWED!!

Pick 6 off pressure, officials claimed the 2 minute warning hit first.

Ball clearly snapped before it hit 2.00 pic.twitter.com/l3RcPmyac2

— Sam Monson (@SamMonsonNFL) September 22, 2024
An alternate view on the broadcast once they came back from the two-minute warning seemingly showed the clock ticking down to 2:00 just as the ball was being snapped, but considering how often the play clock hits zero and teams not getting called for delay of game, it was certainly curious to see this play blown dead and overturned.

On the ensuing third-and-12 snap, Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs took a draw 14 yards past the line to gain and picked up a first down. Three snaps later, Detroit dove into offensive coordinator Ben Johnson’s bag of tricks.

What looked like a short pass to Amon-Ra St. Brown over the middle, was anything but.

Little hook n ladder shenanigans for the score 😈#DETvsAZ | 📺 FOX pic.twitter.com/EBUcoJeBn5

— Detroit Lions (@Lions) September 22, 2024
That’s right, folks. The DESIGNED hook-and-ladder play for the touchdown with St. Brown catching the ball and flipping it to Jahmyr Gibbs, who ran it in for the score! You might not see a more beautifully designed touchdown all season. The Lions certainly got lucky with the overturned pick six, but they did a great job of taking advantage once they got the ball back.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs picks, predictions by Atlanta expert who’s 49-23

The Kansas City Chiefs will look to continue their hot start to the season when they battle the Atlanta Falcons in a key interconference matchup on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City has opened with wins over Baltimore (27-20) and Cincinnati (26-25). Atlanta, meanwhile, opened with an 18-10 loss to Pittsburgh, before rebounding to defeat Philadelphia 22-21. The Chiefs, who can claim their ninth consecutive AFC West crown, are looking to make their fifth Super Bowl appearance in the last six years. The Falcons, who last made the postseason in 2017, are looking for their first win over Kansas City since a 40-24 triumph in 2012.

Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Falcons picks or predictions, you need to see what proven SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein has to say, given his mastery of picks involving the Falcons.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Larry’s weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. Entering the 2024 season, Hartstein is 739-599 all-time on NFL sides and props (plus $4,860 for $100 players, every bet 1 unit) at SportsLine, including 547-452 ATS (55% long-term).

In addition, Hartstein has gone an incredible 49-23-2 on his last 74 NFL picks involving the Falcons, returning $2,155. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has locked in on Chiefs vs. Falcons from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds on the spread, over/under and money line for NFL betting on Falcons vs. Chiefs:

Falcons vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -3
Falcons vs. Chiefs over/under: 46.5 points
Falcons vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -169, Atlanta +142
KC: Chiefs have hit the fourth-quarter game total under in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.75 units)
ATL: Falcons have hit the third-quarter total under in five of their last seven games at home (+2.25 units)
Falcons vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes can set a couple of marks against Atlanta. He has 76 wins in 98 career starts, tied with Tom Brady and Hall of Famer Roger Staubach for most wins ever by a quarterback in his first 100 starts. He also has 222 career TD passes, tied with Aaron Rodgers for most-ever in his first 100 starts. For the year, Mahomes has been solid. He has completed 38 of 53 pass attempts (71.7%) for 442 yards and three touchdowns.

Tight end Travis Kelce, who has been relatively quiet so far this season, has four receptions for 39 yards, including one explosive play of 23 yards. In the opener against Baltimore, he caught three passes for 34 yards. Kelce has been a weapon throughout his career. In 160 regular-season games, he has 911 receptions for 11,367 yards (12.5 average) and 74 touchdowns. See which team to back here.

Why the Falcons can cover
Thirteen-year veteran Kirk Cousins is coming off a brilliant Monday Night Football performance. In the win over the Eagles, he drove Atlanta 70 yards in less than two minutes as the Falcons pulled out the improbable win. He completed 20 of 29 passes (69%) for 241 yards and two touchdowns in the game. For the year, he has completed 36 of 55 attempts (65.5%) for 396 yards and three touchdowns. He has been intercepted twice and has a rating of 89.7.

Wide receiver Darnell Mooney continues to be explosive. He has four receptions for 103 yards (25.8 average) and one touchdown. He has three receptions of 20 yards or longer, including a 41-yarder. He has 37 yards after the catch and has converted four first downs. The former Chicago Bear is in his fifth year in the NFL and has played in 62 games, making 217 receptions for 2,696 yards (12.4 average) and 12 touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

How to make Falcons vs. Chiefs picks
Hatstein has analyzed Chiefs vs. Falcons from every possible angle and while we can tell you he’s leaning Under the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.